Analytics
Improbable-Toilet has made $47.03 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 5 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 55.56 | $0.360 | $19.72 | -$0.28 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 15:40 UTC
Polymarket public position response
6 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 18:28 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 18:28 UTC
polymarket positions
7 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-26 15:40 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $69.39 and losing ones cost $5.65 across 5 settled positions. 40% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $61.39 on “Spread: Shanghai Sharks (-11.5)” (Shanghai Sharks); the largest loss, $2.21 on “China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech” (Magdalena Frech).
It has traded 14 markets. Its open positions are worth $83.23 across 6 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Wuerzburg |
| 44.64 |
| $0.560 |
| $19.42 |
| -$5.58 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 51.28 | $0.390 | $17.69 | -$2.31 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10.5 | +$0.5 |
 Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 51.07 | $0.196 | $8.4 | -$1.6 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.510 | $7.5 | -$7.5 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
