Analytics
Resolved Inner Circle on 16 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Inner Circle at 58%. The Inner Circle side opened at 54.5% on 15 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 58% on 16 Oct 2026 and the low 54.5% on 15 Oct 2026. $52.12K traded over the market's life.
55 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 17, 8:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Inner Circle price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 16 Oct 2026, chart shows 50%–62%
| Observed | Inner Circle price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 54.5% |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 58.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nomoredream | Mena Warriors | 8.4K |
| Quiet Falcon 9992 | Mena Warriors | 5.5K |
| ribalka | Mena Warriors | 3.85K |
| noaume96 | Mena Warriors | 1K |
| zalgan | Mena Warriors | 1K |
| simonmister23 | Mena Warriors | 800 |
| finlandforeveer | Mena Warriors | 743.93 |
| ffhhsja | Mena Warriors | 565.28 |
| bertyui98 | Mena Warriors | 560.19 |
| EEEELYYYY | Mena Warriors | 560.13 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Inner Circle and Mena Warriors in the EPL Masters Play-In Group A, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Inner Circle" if Inner Circle win Game 2 against Mena Warriors. This market will resolve to "Mena Warriors" if Mena Warriors win Game 2 against Inner Circle. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/dota2-ic-menawa-2026-10-15
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