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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.43 | $0.955 | $0.42 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.910 | $63.7 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 70 |
| $0.910 |
| $63.7 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 49 | $0.880 | $43.12 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 23 | $0.580 | $13.34 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 110 | $0.580 | $63.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.240 | $4.32 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.530 | $7.95 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 57 | $0.530 | $30.21 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 44 | $0.955 | $42.02 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 173 | $0.140 | $24.22 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 12 | $0.955 | $11.46 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.040 | $2.8 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 61 | $0.961 | $58.62 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.209 | $22.99 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 161 | $0.037 | $5.96 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 161 | $0.038 | $6.12 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 21 | $0.967 | $20.31 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 48 | $0.968 | $46.46 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 183 | $0.191 | $34.95 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 107 | $0.021 | $2.25 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 141 | $0.019 | $2.68 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 21 | $0.700 | $14.7 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 108 | $0.550 | $59.4 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.550 | $13.2 | May 30, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 32 | $0.690 | $22.08 | May 30, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 78 | $0.690 | $53.82 | May 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 34.51 | $0.530 | $18.29 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 123 | $0.480 | $59.04 | May 29, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 38 | $0.947 | $35.99 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03?No | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.300 | $3.9 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?No | sell | 17 | $0.210 | $3.57 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.024 | $0.5 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No | buy | 6 | $0.946 | $5.68 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.024 | $0.29 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 7 | $0.957 | $6.7 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.956 | $6.69 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 7 | $0.968 | $6.78 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 7 | $0.941 | $6.59 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 7 | $0.938 | $6.57 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 7 | $0.953 | $6.67 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.594 | $4.75 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Presidential ElectionNo | buy | 1.84 | $0.990 | $1.82 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.202 | $7.68 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 11 | $0.946 | $10.41 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 11 | $0.948 | $10.43 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in April?No | sell | 9 | $0.966 | $8.69 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in April?No | buy | 9 | $0.944 | $8.5 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Israel qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No | buy | 30 | $0.048 | $1.44 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No | sell | 8 | $0.981 | $7.85 | May 8, 2025 |