Latest trade
Oct 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 3:42 PM UTC.
Analytics
mantisfed is down $606.63 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 38 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 3:42 PM UTC.
$11.45 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 14 markets; 32.0% were buys. They run from Jun 20, 2026 UTC to Oct 15, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | No | 54 | $0.982 | $52.22 | -$0.81 |
 Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 28.5 | $0.947 | $26.99 | 8d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-15 13:17 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 15:42 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 15:42 UTC
polymarket positions
40 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-15 13:17 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $2.67K and losing ones cost $3.22K across 38 settled positions. 81.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $578.85 on “Cardinals vs. Orioles” (Orioles); the largest loss, $616.77 on “Thunder vs. Nuggets” (Thunder).
Its most recent trade on record was on 15 Oct 2026. It has traded 41 markets. Its open positions are worth $102.33 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 53 |
| $0.968 |
| $50.11 |
| -$1.19 |
| sell |
| 26.5 |
| $0.947 |
| $25.1 |
| 8d ago |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 46.84 | $0.982 | $46 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 7.16 | $0.982 | $7.03 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?No | sell | 2.68 | $0.974 | $2.61 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?No | sell | 4.86 | $0.974 | $4.73 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?No | sell | 4.86 | $0.974 | $4.73 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?No | sell | 4.86 | $0.974 | $4.73 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?No | sell | 4.86 | $0.974 | $4.73 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?No | sell | 4.86 | $0.974 | $4.73 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?No | sell | 4.86 | $0.974 | $4.73 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?No | sell | 4.86 | $0.974 | $4.73 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?No | sell | 4.86 | $0.974 | $4.73 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?No | sell | 4.86 | $0.974 | $4.73 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?No | sell | 4.86 | $0.974 | $4.73 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?No | sell | 2.72 | $0.974 | $2.65 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?No | buy | 54 | $0.973 | $52.54 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 55 | $0.946 | $52.03 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-12 House seat?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.960 | $49.92 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 7.05 | $0.954 | $6.73 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.954 | $20.73 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 5.24 | $0.954 | $5 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 22.97 | $0.954 | $21.91 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 57 | $0.953 | $54.32 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.46 | $0.969 | $1.41 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.45 | $0.969 | $3.34 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.48 | $0.969 | $3.37 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.09 | $0.969 | $2.99 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.52 | $0.969 | $3.41 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.26 | $0.969 | $3.16 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.21 | $0.969 | $3.11 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.99 | $0.969 | $10.65 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.15 | $0.969 | $4.02 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 19.37 | $0.969 | $18.77 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 53 | $0.968 | $51.3 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.969 | $51.36 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 56 | $0.968 | $54.21 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.960 | $50.88 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 53 | $0.972 | $51.52 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?No | buy | 59 | $0.864 | $50.98 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 53 | $0.960 | $50.88 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 52 | $0.986 | $51.27 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.979 | $50.91 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 52 | $0.984 | $51.17 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.968 | $12.25 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.33 | $0.968 | $5.16 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?Yes | buy | 34.01 | $0.968 | $32.92 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.950 | $50.35 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-12 House seat?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.950 | $49.4 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?No | sell | 49.21 | $0.991 | $48.77 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.