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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.99 | $0.048 | $0.02 | -$0.03 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 53 | $0.950 | $50.35 | Jun 24, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 53 |
| $0.950 |
| $50.35 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 133 | $0.230 | $30.59 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 133 | $0.230 | $30.59 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.094 | $3.57 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.510 | $40.29 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.510 | $40.29 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.140 | $7.56 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 96 | $0.150 | $14.4 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.057 | $2.05 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 126 | $0.059 | $7.43 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.140 | $3.22 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.120 | $3.6 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.680 | $50.32 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.710 | $52.54 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.770 | $49.28 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 66 | $0.820 | $54.12 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.780 | $51.48 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.017 | $0.53 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.015 | $1.17 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 54 | $0.710 | $38.34 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 54 | $0.710 | $38.34 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.260 | $8.06 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 109 | $0.260 | $28.34 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.540 | $37.8 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.540 | $37.8 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.048 | $2.3 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 54 | $0.954 | $51.52 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.936 | $42.12 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 109 | $0.045 | $4.91 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 124.41 | $0.047 | $5.85 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.510 | $4.08 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.510 | $31.62 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.956 | $9.56 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 53 | $0.979 | $51.89 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 53 | $0.979 | $51.89 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.550 | $39.6 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.300 | $17.4 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.300 | $17.4 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.280 | $19.6 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.280 | $19.6 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 88 | $0.480 | $42.24 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.460 | $3.68 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.460 | $23.92 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.023 | $0.8 | May 31, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.029 | $1.02 | May 31, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 49 | $0.981 | $48.07 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.982 | $48.12 | May 30, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.490 | $23.52 | May 30, 2026 |