Latest trade
Sep 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 12:38 PM UTC.
Analytics
Authentic-Efficacy is down $462.6 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 30 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 12:38 PM UTC.
$116.61 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 34 markets; 74.0% were buys. They run from Aug 11, 2024 UTC to Sep 3, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 144.13 | $0.890 | $136.78 | +$8.5 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BNB Up or Down - September 3, 6PM ETDown | sell | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-04 07:08 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 12:38 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 12:38 UTC
polymarket positions
31 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-04 07:08 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.12K and losing ones cost $27.47 across 30 settled positions. 26.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $342.31 on “Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET” (Down); the largest loss, $8.6 on “Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 3 Sep 2026. It has traded 37 markets. Its open positions are worth $136.78 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 226.44 |
| $0.500 |
| $113.22 |
| Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
 Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 239.92 | $0.500 | $120 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
 Solana Up or Down - July 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 225.5 | $0.500 | $112.75 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - June 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETUp | buy | 195.38 | $0.500 | $97.69 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 202.43 | $0.500 | $101.22 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 242.2 | $0.500 | $121.1 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 258.38 | $0.500 | $129.19 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 270.07 | $0.500 | $135.03 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 207.8 | $0.500 | $103.9 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 254.16 | $0.500 | $127.08 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 222.66 | $0.500 | $111.33 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 4AM ETUp | buy | 238.22 | $0.510 | $121.49 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Solana Up or Down - January 11, 1PM ETDown | buy | 155.47 | $0.510 | $79.29 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - December 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETUp | buy | 141.45 | $0.510 | $72.14 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6AM ETDown | buy | 148.25 | $0.510 | $75.61 | Dec 25, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 5AM ETUp | buy | 134.5 | $0.500 | $67.25 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 144.13 | $0.890 | $128.28 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ETDown | buy | 88.24 | $0.509 | $44.95 | Oct 28, 2025 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down on October 25?Up | buy | 145.1 | $0.510 | $74 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETDown | buy | 292.06 | $0.523 | $152.6 | Oct 14, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3AM ETUp | buy | 1.36K | $0.528 | $714.91 | Oct 14, 2025 UTC |
 2026 Balance of Power: OtherNo | sell | 17.92 | $0.996 | $17.85 | Sep 7, 2025 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherNo | buy | 17.92 | $0.997 | $17.87 | Sep 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 18.02 | $0.992 | $17.87 | Jul 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 18.02 | $0.997 | $17.97 | Jul 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?No | sell | 18.08 | $0.994 | $17.97 | Jan 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 18.08 | $0.995 | $17.99 | Jan 20, 2025 UTC |
 Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?Yes | buy | 6.42K | $0.001 | $6.42 | Dec 7, 2024 UTC |
 Will Wisconsin be the closest state?Yes | sell | 10.48 | $0.993 | $10.41 | Nov 13, 2024 UTC |
| Will Wisconsin be the closest state?Yes | buy | 10.48 | $0.995 | $10.43 | Nov 13, 2024 UTC |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 5.64K | $0.001 | $5.64 | Oct 14, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 8.6K | $0.001 | $8.6 | Sep 9, 2024 UTC |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 4.4K | $0.001 | $4.4 | Aug 29, 2024 UTC |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 196.53 | $0.985 | $193.58 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 196.53 | $0.987 | $193.98 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
 Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 210.13 | $0.985 | $206.98 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
| Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 210.13 | $0.988 | $207.61 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | sell | 252.43 | $0.969 | $244.6 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | buy | 252.43 | $0.970 | $244.86 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | sell | 215.73 | $0.996 | $214.87 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 215.74 | $0.997 | $215.09 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
 Fed rate cut by September 18?Yes | sell | 242.25 | $0.960 | $232.56 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
| Fed rate cut by September 18?Yes | buy | 242.26 | $0.962 | $233 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R HouseNo | sell | 197.12 | $0.992 | $195.52 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 197.13 | $0.995 | $196.14 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
 Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?No | sell | 250.34 | $0.983 | $246.14 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
| Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?No | buy | 250.34 | $0.988 | $247.34 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump lead by 0.5-0.9 points on August 16?No | sell | 208.47 | $0.980 | $204.3 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump lead by 0.5-0.9 points on August 16?No | buy | 208.48 | $0.985 | $205.35 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 119 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed 2m ago. Watch only — not advice.