Latest trade
Aug 7, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 6:11 PM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 32 settled positions.
Ivory Oracle 3AAB is down $79.03 on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-05 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
Aug 7, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 6:11 PM UTC.
$4.9 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 32 markets; 82.0% were buys. They run from Jul 10, 2026 UTC to Aug 7, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 319.66 | $0.029 | $5.59 | -$3.68 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 980 | $0.010 | $9.8 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-05 03:01 UTC
Polymarket public position response
5 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 18:11 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 18:11 UTC
polymarket positions
33 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-05 03:01 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $338.4 and losing ones cost $78.37 across 32 settled positions. 81.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $128.06 on “Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?” (Yes); the largest loss, $43.12 on “Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 7 Aug 2026. It has traded 110 markets. Its open positions are worth $15.24 across 5 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 139.71 |
| $0.035 |
| $3.07 |
| -$1.82 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 55.36 | $0.088 | $2.71 | -$2.19 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 117.49 | $0.042 | $2.53 | -$2.37 |
 Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 380.85 | $0.013 | $1.33 | -$3.57 |
| buy |
| 31.52 |
| $0.311 |
| $9.8 |
| Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 61.03 | $0.019 | $1.17 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 125.49 | $0.150 | $18.82 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 181.48 | $0.027 | $4.9 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 175 | $0.028 | $4.9 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 174.64 | $0.028 | $4.89 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 204.08 | $0.120 | $24.49 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 117.49 | $0.042 | $4.9 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 139.71 | $0.035 | $4.89 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 380.85 | $0.013 | $4.9 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 55.36 | $0.089 | $4.9 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETDown | buy | 10.16 | $0.182 | $1.85 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.070 | $2.94 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 12.13 | $0.230 | $2.79 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 91 | $0.020 | $1.82 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | sell | 114.34 | $0.961 | $109.88 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 114.34 | $0.990 | $113.2 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
 Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 31?Down | buy | 78.5 | $0.060 | $4.71 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 217.75 | $0.070 | $15.24 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.93K | $0.031 | $59.92 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 217.75 | $0.080 | $17.42 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 24.17 | $0.060 | $1.45 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 96.67 | $0.019 | $1.83 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETDown | buy | 19.71 | $0.070 | $1.38 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 1.78K | $0.004 | $7.12 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 235.95 | $0.005 | $1.07 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETDown | buy | 166.29 | $0.007 | $1.1 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETDown | buy | 18.33 | $0.060 | $1.1 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 36.6 | $0.050 | $1.83 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETUp | buy | 15.86 | $0.070 | $1.11 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 6.68 | $0.280 | $1.87 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp | buy | 14.23 | $0.130 | $1.85 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 22?Down | buy | 96.12 | $0.049 | $4.71 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.74K | $0.006 | $22.41 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.93K | $0.010 | $19.33 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 242.5 | $0.100 | $24.25 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 193 | $0.100 | $19.3 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.78K | $0.011 | $19.57 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.008 | $9.64 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 1.14K | $0.001 | $1.14 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.016 | $19.6 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes | buy | 15.8 | $0.300 | $4.74 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 31.33 | $0.060 | $1.88 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 319.66 | $0.029 | $9.27 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 Rainbow Six Siege: EDward Gaming vs All Gamers - Game 1 WinnerAll Gamers | sell | 108.62 | $0.451 | $48.96 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Rainbow Six Siege: EDward Gaming vs All Gamers - Game 1 WinnerAll Gamers | buy | 108.62 | $0.536 | $58.22 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 29.66 | $0.162 | $4.82 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 653.33 | $0.015 | $9.8 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 153.15 | $0.013 | $1.96 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
3 of 5 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.