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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 11.11 | $0.180 | $8.72 | +$6.72 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 9d ago |
 |
| No |
| 9.13 |
| $0.767 |
| $7.07 |
| +$0.07 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 15.76 | $0.444 | $4.97 | -$2.03 |
 Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections? | Yes | 6.41 | $0.780 | $4.9 | -$0.1 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 2.63 | $0.760 | $1.91 | -$0.09 |
 Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | Yes | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.93 | -$0.07 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 2.5 | $0.400 | $0.89 | -$0.11 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 1.18 | $0.850 | $0.75 | -$0.25 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.12 | $0.330 | $0.65 | -$3.35 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.71 | $0.280 | $0.48 | -$2.52 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 7.27 | $0.550 | $0.47 | -$3.53 |
| buy |
| 2.25 |
| $0.890 |
| $2 |
| 12d ago |
| Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | 12d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.12 | $0.330 | $4 | 12d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 12d ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 2.4 | $0.961 | $2.31 | 12d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.850 | $1.93 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.996 | $2.21 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 2.14 | $0.935 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?No | sell | 2.81 | $0.068 | $0.19 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | sell | 4.84 | $0.007 | $0.04 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 4.85 | $0.412 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.948 | $2 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.46 | $0.183 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.840 | $1.5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 7.27 | $0.550 | $4 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 3.9 | $0.770 | $3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.720 | $4 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 4.05 | $0.740 | $3 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 5.77 | $0.520 | $3 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 12.82 | $0.450 | $5.77 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Jun 23, 2026 |