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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 0.98 | $0.635 | $0.49 | -$0.13 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 111 | $0.921 | $102.23 | Jun 25, 2026 |
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| No |
| 0.42 |
| $0.955 |
| $0.41 |
| +$0.01 |
| buy |
| 74 |
| $0.921 |
| $68.15 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 37 | $0.860 | $31.82 | Jun 25, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 162 | $0.860 | $139.32 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 126.19 | $0.290 | $36.6 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 133 | $0.290 | $38.57 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 152 | $0.090 | $13.68 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 152 | $0.100 | $15.2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 127 | $0.500 | $63.5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 5.91 | $0.973 | $5.75 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 138 | $0.969 | $133.72 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 16 | $0.840 | $13.44 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.820 | $31.16 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.180 | $7.02 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 104 | $0.190 | $19.76 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 128 | $0.113 | $14.46 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 128 | $0.112 | $14.34 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.560 | $78.4 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 241 | $0.560 | $134.96 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 143 | $0.945 | $135.14 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 112 | $0.850 | $95.2 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.899 | $32.36 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 29 | $0.870 | $25.23 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 42 | $0.985 | $41.37 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 88 | $0.370 | $32.56 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.450 | $39.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.590 | $16.52 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 139 | $0.590 | $82.01 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 68 | $0.134 | $9.11 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.168 | $12.94 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 138 | $0.937 | $129.31 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.030 | $1.2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.031 | $4.19 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 8 | $0.630 | $5.04 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 41 | $0.640 | $26.24 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 33.1 | $0.630 | $20.85 | Jun 13, 2026 |
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 92 | $0.938 | $86.3 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 80 | $0.810 | $64.8 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 84 | $0.810 | $68.04 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 154 | $0.550 | $84.7 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 164 | $0.760 | $124.64 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 88 | $0.560 | $49.28 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 173 | $0.540 | $93.42 | Jun 9, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | sell | 7 | $0.979 | $6.85 | Jun 9, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | sell | 37 | $0.977 | $36.15 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 57.95 | $0.986 | $57.14 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.027 | $0.08 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.946 | $39.73 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.747 | $104.58 | Jun 7, 2026 |