Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 3.71 | $0.960 | $3.54 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 3.71 | $0.960 | $3.56 | 15h ago |
 |
| sell |
| 4.19 |
| $0.942 |
| $3.95 |
| 15h ago |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 4.2 | $0.953 | $4 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.998 | $3.76 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?No | buy | 4.27 | $0.989 | $4.22 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No | sell | 3.31 | $0.939 | $3.11 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No | buy | 3.32 | $0.953 | $3.16 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 14?No | buy | 4.21 | $0.975 | $4.1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 4.35 | $0.982 | $4.27 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.981 | $4.27 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.940 | $4.27 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No | buy | 4.54 | $0.966 | $4.39 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 4.4 | $0.987 | $4.34 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?No | buy | 4.34 | $0.970 | $4.21 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or below on January 31?No | buy | 4.2 | $0.980 | $4.12 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31?No | buy | 4.12 | $0.987 | $4.07 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Adobe say "Semrush" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 4.07 | $0.967 | $3.94 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?Yes | sell | 4.3 | $0.915 | $3.93 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?Yes | buy | 4.3 | $0.972 | $4.18 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9?25bps cut | sell | 4.26 | $0.981 | $4.18 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9?25bps cut | buy | 4.26 | $0.920 | $3.92 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190-$195 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?No | buy | 3.93 | $0.950 | $3.73 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Israel banned from Eurovision 2026 by November 30?No | sell | 3.77 | $0.987 | $3.72 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Israel banned from Eurovision 2026 by November 30?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.991 | $3.74 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by November 30?No | sell | 3.9 | $0.959 | $3.74 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by November 30?No | buy | 3.9 | $0.971 | $3.79 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will the price of XRP be between $2.40 and $2.50 on November 6?No | buy | 3.8 | $0.940 | $3.57 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Atlas global browser market share 1%+ on October 31?No | buy | 3.56 | $0.999 | $3.56 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 55-56°F on October 24?No | buy | 3.56 | $0.997 | $3.55 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on October 18?No | buy | 3.55 | $0.999 | $3.55 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.55 | $0.912 | $3.24 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Syria hold national elections by January 31?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.993 | $5.25 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?No | buy | 3.47 | $0.950 | $3.3 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Honda and Nissan merger announced before February?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.967 | $5.88 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.986 | $1.08 | Dec 19, 2024 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 2.77 | $0.977 | $2.71 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.974 | $1.1 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.920 | $1.17 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 3.6 | $0.969 | $3.49 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?No | buy | 0.78 | $0.998 | $0.78 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 IA-01 election: Bohannan (D) vs. Miller-Meeks (R)Miller-Meeks | buy | 1.3 | $0.988 | $1.28 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?Yes | buy | 19.98K | $0.001 | $19.98 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will the AP call the election on November 7?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.999 | $1.36 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Bournemouth wins the Premier League?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.998 | $1.86 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?No | buy | 2.26 | $0.997 | $2.25 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.998 | $1.61 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.987 | $1.36 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 PartyDAO airdrop in 2024?No | buy | 2.59 | $0.940 | $2.43 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 30.85K | $0.001 | $30.85 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 30.85K | $0.001 | $30.85 | Nov 6, 2024 |