Analytics
wienerdog has made $16K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 17.01K | $0.792 | $14.38K | +$903.77 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 19:21 UTC
Polymarket public position response
48 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 03:52 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 03:52 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-25 19:21 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $71.15K and losing ones cost $57.37K across the latest 50 settled positions. 54% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $12.02K on “Will Navi Pillay win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $5.46K on “Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?” (No).
It has traded 230 markets. Its open positions are worth $56.34K across 48 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 7.21K |
| $0.621 |
| $7.21K |
| +$2.72K |
 US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | Yes | 7.4K | $0.755 | $6.11K | +$516.41 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | Yes | 4.77K | $0.880 | $4.39K | +$190.92 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | No | 8.36K | $0.521 | $4.18K | -$172.68 |
 Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | No | 3.25K | $0.887 | $2.93K | +$41.51 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | No | 6.94K | $0.418 | $2.57K | -$331.1 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 4.24K | $0.543 | $2.42K | +$116.08 |
 Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2.32K | $0.330 | $2.32K | +$1.55K |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.65K | $0.352 | $1.71K | +$70.59 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | Yes | 6.87K | $0.603 | $1.1K | -$3.04K |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | Yes | 8.43K | $0.071 | $632.26 | +$33.72 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | No | 1.21K | $0.413 | $514 | +$14.01 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 1.36K | $0.473 | $496.79 | -$146.98 |
 Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 6.1K | $0.048 | $460.68 | +$166.71 |
 Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 1.85K | $0.359 | $443.7 | -$220.27 |
 Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election? | No | 1.31K | $0.365 | $417.73 | -$59.2 |
 Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | No | 1.7K | $0.360 | $399.5 | -$212.5 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.66K | $0.220 | $382.8 | +$16.64 |
 Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31? | No | 3.18K | $0.377 | $365.65 | -$832.34 |
 Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31? | No | 373.04 | $0.936 | $307.76 | -$41.42 |
 Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | Yes | 305.46 | $0.882 | $280.87 | +$11.3 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.82K | $0.076 | $269.41 | -$249.32 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | Yes | 2.37K | $0.094 | $225.52 | +$2.26 |
 Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | No | 443.53 | $0.477 | $212.89 | +$1.08 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
