Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 112.18 | $0.840 | $106.01 | +$11.78 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1PM ETUp | buy | 262.04 | $0.500 | $131.02 | 2d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 237.66 |
| $0.500 |
| $118.83 |
| Jul 6, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETDown | buy | 251.92 | $0.500 | $125.96 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 237.52 | $0.500 | $118.76 | May 15, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 238.44 | $0.500 | $119.22 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 179.7 | $0.500 | $89.85 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 209.54 | $0.500 | $104.83 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 1PM ETDown | buy | 426.12 | $0.510 | $217.32 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 5AM ETUp | buy | 219.65 | $0.510 | $112.02 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETDown | buy | 402.02 | $0.510 | $205.03 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 2AM ETDown | buy | 412.55 | $0.510 | $210.25 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETDown | buy | 133.43 | $0.510 | $68.05 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Thailand strikes Cambodia by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.09K | $0.120 | $131.36 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 112.18 | $0.840 | $94.23 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETUp | buy | 194.23 | $0.513 | $99.6 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETDown | buy | 185.77 | $0.517 | $96 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8AM ETUp | buy | 1.28K | $0.522 | $666 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?Yes | sell | 21.1 | $0.950 | $20.05 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?Yes | buy | 21.1 | $0.960 | $20.26 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?No | sell | 16.84 | $0.966 | $16.27 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?No | buy | 16.85 | $0.970 | $16.34 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 1?No | sell | 26.39 | $0.998 | $26.34 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 1?No | buy | 26.4 | $0.999 | $26.37 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon Trump?No | sell | 26.88 | $0.981 | $26.37 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Biden pardon Trump?No | buy | 26.88 | $0.982 | $26.4 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?Yes | buy | 6.5K | $0.001 | $6.5 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 11.6 | $0.992 | $11.51 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 11.6 | $0.993 | $11.52 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.73K | $0.001 | $5.73 | Oct 10, 2024 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.6K | $0.001 | $6.6 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.39K | $0.001 | $6.39 | Aug 29, 2024 |
 Will Ilhan Omar win the MN-5 Democratic House Primary?Yes | sell | 162.17 | $0.951 | $154.22 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Will Ilhan Omar win the MN-5 Democratic House Primary?Yes | buy | 162.18 | $0.962 | $156 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | sell | 231.01 | $0.998 | $230.55 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 231.01 | $0.999 | $230.78 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 230.02 | $0.988 | $227.26 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 230.02 | $0.989 | $227.49 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 194.2 | $0.987 | $191.68 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 194.21 | $0.989 | $192.07 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | sell | 239.3 | $0.967 | $231.4 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | buy | 239.31 | $0.969 | $231.89 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseNo | sell | 205.8 | $0.981 | $201.88 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 205.8 | $0.984 | $202.51 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by September 18?Yes | sell | 223.47 | $0.951 | $212.52 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Fed rate cut by September 18?Yes | buy | 223.48 | $0.952 | $212.75 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?No | sell | 200.3 | $0.984 | $197.1 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?No | buy | 200.3 | $0.986 | $197.54 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?No | sell | 246.29 | $0.947 | $233.19 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?No | buy | 246.29 | $0.952 | $234.47 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win South Dakota Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 225.94 | $0.980 | $221.42 | Aug 9, 2024 |