Latest trade
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 7:54 AM UTC.
Analytics
Tiny-Bagpipe has made $1.06K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 7:54 AM UTC.
$3.46 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 12 markets; 94.0% were buys. They run from Oct 12, 2026 UTC to Oct 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 3.41K | $0.075 | $196.12 | -$58.88 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fight to Go the Distance? AND UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) | sell | 12.59 | $0.986 | $12.41 | 9h ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-20 18:21 UTC
Polymarket public position response
11 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 07:54 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 07:54 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-20 18:21 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $4.42K and losing ones cost $1.29K across the latest 50 settled positions. 50% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1K on “Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $175.78 on “Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 24 Oct 2026. It has traded 273 markets. Its open positions are worth $332.8 across 11 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 1.85K |
| $0.154 |
| $59.33 |
| -$225.67 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5.38K | $0.005 | $21.52 | -$5.38 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3K | $0.013 | $19.5 | -$18.29 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.07K | $0.056 | $14.4 | -$45.6 |
 Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2.72K | $0.026 | $9.51 | -$60.8 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 20.75 | $0.212 | $4.76 | +$0.36 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 504 | $0.007 | $3.28 | -$0.53 |
 Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | $0.012 | $2.1 | -$14.86 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 30.77 | $0.130 | $1.69 | -$2.31 |
 Will Michael Morales be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 237.88 | $0.004 | $0.59 | -$0.41 |
| buy |
| 12.6 |
| $0.385 |
| $4.85 |
| 11h ago |
 Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?No | buy | 104.76 | $0.210 | $22 | 3d ago |
 Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 38.55 | $0.096 | $3.7 | 3d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 161.45 | $0.096 | $15.5 | 3d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 516.67 | $0.115 | $59.32 | 3d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.002 | $3 | 4d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 6.2 | $0.025 | $0.16 | 4d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.025 | $1.25 | 4d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.160 | $32 | 4d ago |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | 4d ago |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.210 | $10.5 | 4d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 260.47 | $0.154 | $40 | 4d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.838 | $418.91 | 4d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 310.25 | $0.009 | $2.79 | 5d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 8.22 | $0.009 | $0.07 | 5d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 19.41 | $0.009 | $0.17 | 5d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 9.68 | $0.009 | $0.09 | 5d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 0.91 | $0.009 | $0.01 | 5d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 161.52 | $0.008 | $1.29 | 5d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 541.96 | $0.007 | $3.79 | 5d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 83.88 | $0.007 | $0.59 | 5d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.007 | $0.21 | 5d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.007 | $0.07 | 5d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 287 | $0.007 | $2.01 | 5d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 173.1 | $0.007 | $1.21 | 5d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.007 | $0.28 | 5d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 173.86 | $0.007 | $1.22 | 5d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 160.2 | $0.007 | $1.12 | 5d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.350 | $175 | 5d ago |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.005 | $6.5 | 5d ago |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.004 | $0.81 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.007 | $11.2 | 8d ago |
 Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?No | buy | 110 | $0.019 | $2.09 | 8d ago |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?No | buy | 355 | $0.022 | $7.78 | 8d ago |
| Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?No | buy | 27.3 | $0.366 | $10 | 9d ago |
| Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?No | buy | 77 | $0.390 | $30 | 9d ago |
| Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?No | buy | 19.3 | $0.410 | $7.91 | 9d ago |
| Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?No | buy | 84.27 | $0.410 | $34.55 | 9d ago |
| Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?No | buy | 206.42 | $0.385 | $79.44 | 9d ago |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.028 | $1.4 | 10d ago |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.028 | $5.6 | 10d ago |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | 10d ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?No | buy | 45.94 | $0.070 | $3.22 | 11d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.080 | $12 | 11d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.070 | $0.15 | 11d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?No | buy | 380.99 | $0.090 | $34.29 | 11d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?No | buy | 14.01 | $0.090 | $1.26 | 11d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.090 | $0.45 | 11d ago |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | 12d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed 3m ago. Watch only — not advice.