Latest trade
Feb 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 1:17 AM UTC.
Analytics
Crafty-Evolution is down $82.56 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 17 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-02-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 1:17 AM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 29 trades covered 23 markets; 86.2% were buys. They run from Oct 5, 2025 UTC to Feb 4, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 27.03 | $0.370 | $4.45 | -$5.55 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 62 | $0.500 | $31 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-02-04 14:47 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 01:17 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
29 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 01:17 UTC
polymarket positions
18 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-02-04 14:47 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $48.26 and losing ones cost $20 across 17 settled positions. 94.1% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $25.9 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET” (Down); the largest loss, $20 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET” (Up).
Its most recent trade on record was on 4 Feb 2026. It has traded 23 markets. Its open positions are worth $4.45 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 73.85 |
| $0.660 |
| $48.74 |
| Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETDown | buy | 22.66 | $0.690 | $15.63 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETDown | buy | 58.24 | $0.670 | $39.02 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 42.14 | $0.460 | $19.38 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETDown | buy | 37.9 | $0.780 | $29.56 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETUp | buy | 16.64 | $0.060 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
 Russian strike on Poland by December 31?No | sell | 4.39 | $0.953 | $4.18 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 15.78 | $0.983 | $15.51 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 10.44 | $0.978 | $10.21 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 17.06 | $0.810 | $13.82 | Oct 7, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETDown | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Oct 7, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 10.31 | $0.990 | $10.21 | Oct 7, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?Up | buy | 10.18 | $0.550 | $5.6 | Oct 5, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?Up | sell | 5.37 | $0.999 | $5.36 | Oct 5, 2025 UTC |
| Russian strike on Poland by December 31?No | buy | 4.4 | $0.910 | $4 | Oct 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by October 31?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Oct 5, 2025 UTC |
 RFK Jr. Out by December 31?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Oct 5, 2025 UTC |
 Israel strike on Damascus by October 31?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.965 | $5 | Oct 5, 2025 UTC |
 Han Duck-soo in jail by December 31?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Oct 5, 2025 UTC |
 Abdul-Malik out as leader of Houthis by December 31?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.911 | $5 | Oct 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 10.45 | $0.957 | $10 | Oct 5, 2025 UTC |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 15.79 | $0.950 | $15 | Oct 5, 2025 UTC |
 Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?No | buy | 800 | $0.005 | $4 | Oct 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Oct 5, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?Up | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Oct 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Oct 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Oct 5, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.