Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.8%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 1 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 94 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 1 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.9% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 12.5% on 2 Oct 2025. $20.8K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 94 points, 1 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2025 | 49.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 2.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MiddleEastPro | Yes | 2.07K |
| S888 | Yes | 370.3 |
| Masada | Yes | 242.33 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abdul-Malik al-Houthi, current leader of the Yemeni Houthis, is removed from power for any length of time between Sepember 1, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Abdul-Malik will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, is officially dismissed, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as leader of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/abdul-malik-out-as-leader-of-houthis-by-september-30
| Yes |
| 200 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 149.93 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 100 |
| BrianJames3573 | Yes | 94 |
| KellyPhillips9072 | Yes | 85 |
| TannerSchultz9540 | Yes | 55 |
| Owwwnn | Yes | 45.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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