Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 7 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 118 daily closes on record from 7 Sep 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 14.5% on 7 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.6 points down, to 0.4% on 15 Dec 2025. $6.63K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 118 points, 7 Sep 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Sep 2025 | 14.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Wumpus | Yes | 200 |
| FrosenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 124.21 |
| jwingren74 | Yes | 95 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) announces that he will resign from his position as United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS), or otherwise ceases to be HHS Secretary for any length of time, between September 5, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by RFK Jr. or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rfk-jr-out-by-september-30
| jhoola |
| Yes |
| 62.5 |
| HoshinoRuby | Yes | 53.57 |
| Kanp | Yes | 49.26 |
| Owwwnn | Yes | 47.35 |
| Avvnnnn | Yes | 46.66 |
| Cronnozzz | Yes | 38.91 |
| Rlso | Yes | 38.17 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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