Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 42.86 | $0.350 | $21.21 | +$6.21 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 90.37 | $0.553 | $50 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 10 |
| $0.800 |
| $8.75 |
| +$0.75 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 34.48 | $0.290 | $3.1 | -$6.9 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 20 | $0.360 | $2.84 | -$4.36 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 20 | $0.180 | $1.59 | -$2.01 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.150 | $1.28 | -$3.72 |
| sell |
| 78.94 |
| $0.190 |
| $15 |
| Aug 11, 2026 |
 Blue wave in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.049 | $0.97 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.380 | $15.2 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.987 | $98.7 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 161.95 | $0.150 | $24.29 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.060 | $6.67 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.850 | $24.28 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes | buy | 46.63 | $0.540 | $25.18 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes | buy | 5.7 | $0.680 | $3.88 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.993 | $19.86 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.970 | $29.1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Alejandro Mostajo Rueda win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.353 | $5.3 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.680 | $10.2 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Luis Antonio Revilla win the 2026 La Paz gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.643 | $3.22 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 16.2 | $0.720 | $11.66 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.825 | $16.5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.480 | $14.4 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.430 | $21.5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Ohio visit?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.937 | $72.07 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.520 | $20.8 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 74.13 | $0.550 | $40.77 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Blue wave in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Ackman vs. S&P - JanuaryS&P | sell | 51.5 | $0.050 | $2.58 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Pelosi vs. S&P - JanuaryPelosi | sell | 11.11 | $0.355 | $3.94 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Yes | buy | 139.37 | $0.072 | $10 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.330 | $9.9 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Greenland" during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Stupid" during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.850 | $42.5 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.530 | $10.6 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Corn" during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 6.73 | $0.410 | $2.76 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will International Business Machines (IBM) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 90 | $0.130 | $11.7 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | Jan 26, 2026 |