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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.49 | $0.954 | $0.48 | +$0.01 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 93 | $0.017 | $1.58 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 0.4 |
| $0.310 |
| $0.04 |
| -$0.08 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.100 |
| $1 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 205 | $0.100 | $20.5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.120 | $11.4 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.870 | $15.66 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 111 | $0.860 | $95.46 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.870 | $95.7 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 100.01 | $0.870 | $87.01 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 316 | $0.250 | $79 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 331 | $0.250 | $82.75 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 47 | $0.730 | $34.31 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 96.91 | $0.730 | $70.74 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 144 | $0.740 | $106.56 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 104 | $0.936 | $97.34 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 118 | $0.905 | $106.81 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 118 | $0.893 | $105.37 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 75 | $0.972 | $72.9 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 75 | $0.973 | $72.98 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 89 | $0.046 | $4.09 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 48 | $0.899 | $43.15 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 110 | $0.952 | $104.72 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 340 | $0.080 | $27.2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.090 | $33.75 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 22 | $0.160 | $3.52 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 214 | $0.063 | $13.48 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 134 | $0.064 | $8.58 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 129 | $0.846 | $109.13 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.84 | $0.390 | $0.72 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 246 | $0.390 | $95.94 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.016 | $1.76 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 182 | $0.015 | $2.73 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 285.44 | $0.021 | $5.99 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 314 | $0.022 | $6.91 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9?No | sell | 27 | $0.980 | $26.46 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9?No | buy | 101 | $0.965 | $97.47 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 102 | $0.540 | $55.08 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.540 | $55.08 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 93 | $0.985 | $91.61 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 52 | $0.969 | $50.39 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 60 | $0.964 | $57.84 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.040 | $2.36 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 108 | $0.989 | $106.81 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 135 | $0.730 | $98.55 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 16 | $0.450 | $7.2 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 217 | $0.450 | $97.65 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 114 | $0.955 | $108.87 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 114 | $0.954 | $108.76 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 47.6 | $0.320 | $15.23 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 107 | $0.310 | $33.17 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 158 | $0.655 | $103.49 | May 26, 2026 |