Latest trade
Oct 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 4:31 PM UTC.
Analytics
lilshady91 has made $21.58 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 5 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 4:31 PM UTC.
$6.5 median trade
Its latest 16 trades covered 13 markets; 93.8% were buys. They run from Oct 6, 2026 UTC to Oct 10, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 50 | $0.700 | $34.5 | -$0.5 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?No | sell | 29.41 | $0.657 | $19.32 | 12d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-18 16:28 UTC
Polymarket public position response
11 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 16:31 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
16 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 16:31 UTC
polymarket positions
6 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-18 16:28 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $22 and losing ones cost $0.42 across 5 settled positions. 20% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $22 on “Will Atsumi Harasawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $0.42 on “Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 10 Oct 2026. It has traded 13 markets. Its open positions are worth $86.83 across 11 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.520 |
| $27.25 |
| +$1.25 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026? | No | 50 | $0.330 | $8.68 | -$7.83 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 20 | $0.250 | $6 | +$1 |
 Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October? | Yes | 50 | $0.160 | $4.75 | -$3.25 |
 Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | No | 50 | $0.540 | $4 | -$23 |
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? | Yes | 0.95 | $0.430 | $0.58 | +$0.17 |
 Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 4.00 to 4.99 ft by November 30? | Yes | 0.96 | $0.150 | $0.4 | +$0.25 |
 Will Core PCE YoY be 2.7% or less in September? | Yes | 50 | $0.160 | $0.33 | -$7.68 |
 Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 0.46 | $0.420 | $0.28 | +$0.09 |
 Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October? | No | 1.69 | $0.310 | $0.07 | -$0.45 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.160 |
| $8 |
| 15d ago |
 Will Atsumi Harasawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.560 | $28 | 16d ago |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 4.00 to 4.99 ft by November 30?Yes | buy | 0.96 | $0.150 | $0.14 | 16d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.330 | $16.5 | 16d ago |
| Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?No | buy | 50 | $0.520 | $26 | 16d ago |
| Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes | buy | 0.46 | $0.420 | $0.19 | 16d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | 16d ago |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Yes | buy | 0.95 | $0.430 | $0.41 | 16d ago |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 2.7% or less in September?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | 16d ago |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 2.7% or less in September?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | 16d ago |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 2.7% or less in September?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | 16d ago |
| Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.660 | $19.41 | 16d ago |
| Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?No | buy | 50 | $0.540 | $27 | 16d ago |
| Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.310 | $0.52 | 17d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.700 | $35 | 17d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed 3m ago. Watch only — not advice.