Analytics
lilshady91 has made $21.58 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 5 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 50 | $0.700 | $34.5 | -$0.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-18 16:28 UTC
Polymarket public position response
11 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 15:38 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-23 15:38 UTC
polymarket positions
6 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-18 16:28 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $22 and losing ones cost $0.42 across 5 settled positions. 20% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $22 on “Will Atsumi Harasawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $0.42 on “Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?” (No).
It has traded 13 markets. Its open positions are worth $86.3 across 11 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.520 |
| $27.5 |
| +$1.5 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026? | No | 50 | $0.330 | $7.48 | -$9.03 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 20 | $0.250 | $6 | +$1 |
 Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October? | Yes | 50 | $0.160 | $5.25 | -$2.75 |
 Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | No | 50 | $0.540 | $4 | -$23 |
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? | Yes | 0.95 | $0.430 | $0.57 | +$0.16 |
 Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 4.00 to 4.99 ft by November 30? | Yes | 0.96 | $0.150 | $0.4 | +$0.25 |
 Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 0.46 | $0.420 | $0.28 | +$0.09 |
 Will Core PCE YoY be 2.7% or less in September? | Yes | 50 | $0.160 | $0.25 | -$7.75 |
 Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October? | No | 1.69 | $0.310 | $0.07 | -$0.45 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
