Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 112 | $0.720 | $80.64 | Jul 12, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 192 |
| $0.360 |
| $69.12 |
| Jul 12, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | sell | 237.7 | $0.530 | $125.98 | Jul 12, 2026 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 295 | $0.450 | $132.75 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | sell | 280 | $0.533 | $149.21 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | sell | 42.29 | $0.540 | $22.84 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 454 | $0.799 | $362.75 | Jul 12, 2026 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 889 | $0.343 | $304.67 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 482 | $0.820 | $395.24 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 384 | $0.080 | $30.72 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.21 | $0.820 | $0.17 | Jul 8, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 35 | $0.490 | $17.15 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 810 | $0.064 | $51.46 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 3.75 | $0.490 | $1.84 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.690 | $0.01 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 0.64 | $0.749 | $0.48 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 58 | $0.749 | $43.45 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 50 | $0.650 | $32.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.700 | $0.01 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 38.74 | $0.702 | $27.2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 19 | $0.703 | $13.36 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 19 | $0.704 | $13.38 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 6.62 | $0.705 | $4.67 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 12.38 | $0.705 | $8.73 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 143.61 | $0.706 | $101.39 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 14.01 | $0.707 | $9.91 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 464 | $0.636 | $295.27 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 292 | $0.850 | $248.2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 25 | $0.520 | $13 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 220 | $0.500 | $110 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 17.32 | $0.500 | $8.66 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 8.07 | $0.510 | $4.12 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 270 | $0.878 | $236.93 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 933 | $0.500 | $466.5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 37.25 | $0.390 | $14.53 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 215.07 | $0.350 | $75.27 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 302 | $0.350 | $105.7 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 210 | $0.351 | $73.71 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 541 | $0.420 | $227.22 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 326 | $0.690 | $224.94 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 104.71 | $0.750 | $78.53 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.490 | $0.01 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.510 | $7.65 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.840 | $0.05 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 41.15 | $0.400 | $16.46 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 196.95 | $0.470 | $92.57 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 487 | $0.530 | $258.11 | Jun 18, 2026 |