Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 178.58K | $0.500 | $89.74K | +$446.45 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 364.34 | $0.700 | $255.04 | 6h ago |
|
| No |
| 178.58K |
| $0.500 |
| $88.84K |
| -$446.45 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 84.78K | $0.641 | $71.98K | +$17.64K |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 83.84K | $0.321 | $11.32K | -$15.57K |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 4.5K | $0.633 | $3.4K | +$550.5 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 480.28 | $0.760 | $458.19 | +$93.17 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 411.25 | $0.610 | $269.37 | +$18.69 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.07K | $0.430 | $264.63 | -$1.49K |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 3.2K | $0.026 | $49.6 | -$33.6 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 100 | $0.470 | $48.5 | +$1.5 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 15.66 | $0.700 | $15.43 | +$4.46 |
 Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 875.95 | $0.019 | $10.95 | -$6.13 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 10 | $0.810 | $9.45 | +$1.35 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | No | 2.88 | $0.150 | $0.53 | +$0.1 |
| sell |
| 29.61 |
| $0.240 |
| $7.11 |
| 6h ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.91K | $0.130 | $378.81 | 2d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.88 | $0.150 | $0.43 | 2d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 843.78 | $0.832 | $702.02 | 5d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.21K | $0.834 | $1.84K | 5d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 7.41K | $0.832 | $6.17K | 5d ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | sell | 5.43K | $0.020 | $108.63 | 6d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.4K | $0.160 | $384 | 9d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?No | buy | 1K | $0.999 | $999 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 77.86 | $0.023 | $1.79 | 9d ago |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 147 | $0.022 | $3.23 | 9d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | buy | 5.43K | $0.014 | $76.04 | 9d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5.19K | $0.825 | $4.28K | 9d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?No | buy | 2.22K | $0.970 | $2.16K | 9d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.827 | $913.22 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 708.99 | $0.007 | $4.96 | 9d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | buy | 313.84 | $0.370 | $116.12 | 9d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | buy | 382.22 | $0.350 | $133.78 | 9d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?No | buy | 2.19K | $0.220 | $482.42 | 9d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 4.41K | $0.815 | $3.59K | 11d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03K | $0.830 | $2.51K | 14d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 242 | $0.826 | $199.89 | 14d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.96K | $0.150 | $294.12 | 14d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.62K | $0.827 | $2.17K | 14d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.2K | $0.150 | $929.96 | 14d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 27.1 | $0.763 | $20.68 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 452.09 | $0.740 | $334.55 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 1.2K | $0.950 | $1.14K | Jul 19, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 921.91 | $0.270 | $248.92 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.210 | $105 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 850.1 | $0.920 | $782.09 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 50 | $0.799 | $39.95 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 24.65K | $0.050 | $1.23K | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 4.93K | $0.605 | $2.98K | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 100 | $0.642 | $64.2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.01K | $0.833 | $1.67K | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.45K | $0.150 | $518.03 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 2K | $0.930 | $1.86K | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 248.95 | $0.820 | $204.06 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 795.03 | $0.810 | $644.07 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 165.87 | $0.803 | $133.19 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.75K | $0.840 | $2.31K | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 860.84 | $0.841 | $723.56 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 9.26K | $0.840 | $7.78K | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 7.56K | $0.160 | $1.21K | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 360.5 | $0.821 | $296.11 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 5.92K | $0.034 | $198.41 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.64K | $0.160 | $582.72 | Jun 18, 2026 |