Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.190 | $6.46 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 68 |
| $0.390 |
| $26.52 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 76 | $0.400 | $30.4 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.080 | $5.44 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | sell | 32 | $0.930 | $29.76 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.930 | $29.76 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.730 | $27.01 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 28 | $0.980 | $27.44 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.975 | $4.88 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.101 | $3.74 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.080 | $6.72 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.956 | $25.81 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.820 | $28.7 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.810 | $28.35 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 62 | $0.350 | $21.7 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.039 | $1.29 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.968 | $29.04 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 49 | $0.460 | $22.54 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 49.25 | $0.460 | $22.66 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 26 | $0.970 | $25.22 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 26 | $0.969 | $25.19 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.320 | $6.72 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 35 | $0.814 | $28.49 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 35 | $0.814 | $28.49 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.500 | $4 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 27 | $0.951 | $25.68 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 48 | $0.540 | $25.92 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.540 | $25.92 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 26 | $0.985 | $25.61 | May 30, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 26 | $0.985 | $25.61 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 26.05 | $0.800 | $20.84 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.800 | $28 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.041 | $0.57 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.580 | $9.28 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 30 | $0.949 | $28.47 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.982 | $25.53 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 27 | $0.962 | $25.97 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 38 | $0.754 | $28.65 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 38 | $0.752 | $28.58 | May 24, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.258 | $19.61 | May 24, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | May 21, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.150 | $5.55 | May 21, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.950 | $237.5 | May 14, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 242 | $0.979 | $236.92 | May 13, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | sell | 192 | $0.983 | $188.74 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?No | buy | 264 | $0.985 | $260.04 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.915 | $1.3 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.965 | $1.3 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.975 | $1.31 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will Andre Jackson Jr. win the 2025 NBA Slam Dunk Contest?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.180 | $3.24 | Feb 15, 2025 |