Latest trade
Jul 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 2:01 PM UTC.
Analytics
Smokeehair is down $26.44K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 2:01 PM UTC.
$7.3 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 41 markets; 86.0% were buys. They run from Aug 29, 2025 UTC to Jul 15, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 31.85 | $0.518 | $16.5 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-15 14:16 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 14:01 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 14:01 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-15 14:16 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $900.55 and losing ones cost $27.33K across the latest 50 settled positions. 78% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $800 on “Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 4PM ET” (Up); the largest loss, $10.4K on “Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET” (Down).
Its most recent trade on record was on 15 Jul 2026. It has traded 118 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 15.99 |
| $0.970 |
| $15.51 |
| Nov 12, 2025 UTC |
 Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves | sell | 14.8K | $0.280 | $4.14K | Nov 12, 2025 UTC |
| Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves | buy | 14.8K | $0.570 | $8.44K | Nov 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Estonia win on 2025-11-18?No | sell | 11.6K | $0.720 | $8.35K | Nov 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Estonia win on 2025-11-18?No | buy | 11.6K | $0.890 | $10.32K | Nov 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will AC Cambrai win on 2025-11-16?No | sell | 14.3K | $0.710 | $10.15K | Nov 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will AC Cambrai win on 2025-11-16?No | buy | 14.3K | $0.880 | $12.58K | Nov 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Wales vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?No | sell | 15.33K | $0.830 | $12.73K | Nov 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Wales vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?No | buy | 15.33K | $0.850 | $13.03K | Nov 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Hungary win on 2025-11-16?No | sell | 9.44K | $0.710 | $6.71K | Nov 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Hungary win on 2025-11-16?No | buy | 9.44K | $0.880 | $8.31K | Nov 12, 2025 UTC |
 Games Total: O/U 3.5Over | buy | 52 | $0.780 | $40.56 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 26.73 | $0.868 | $23.19 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.868 | $17.36 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 46.74 | $0.873 | $40.8 | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will the price of Solana be above $220 on October 2?Yes | buy | 33.31 | $0.981 | $32.68 | Oct 2, 2025 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETDown | buy | 20.78K | $0.500 | $10.39K | Sep 25, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | Sep 25, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 10K | $0.500 | $5K | Sep 15, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 2.26K | $0.500 | $1.13K | Sep 15, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETDown | buy | 158 | $0.500 | $79 | Sep 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?No | buy | 139.89 | $0.750 | $104.92 | Sep 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?No | buy | 102.25 | $0.763 | $77.99 | Sep 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2025 US Open?No | buy | 15.77 | $0.993 | $15.66 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $102K August 25–31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.994 | $1.21 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100K August 25–31?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.994 | $1.12 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Lewis Hamilton finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.998 | $1.4 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Lando Norris finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Oscar Piastri finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 1.76 | $0.999 | $1.76 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Esteban Ocon finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.999 | $1.99 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Yuki Tsunoda finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.999 | $1.46 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.999 | $1.46 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.999 | $1.25 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Isack Hadjar finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.999 | $2.04 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Fernando Alonso finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Jack Doohan finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.999 | $1.63 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Pierre Gasly finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Liam Lawson finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.999 | $1.16 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.999 | $1.55 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Lance Stroll finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.999 | $1.34 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Oliver Bearman finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Alexander Albon finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.999 | $1.25 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.990 | $1.12 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.994 | $1.3 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.997 | $1.12 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.999 | $1.12 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
 OpenAI browser by August 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.