Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 48.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 21 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 57% on 14 Nov 2025 and the low 38.5% on 9 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 54% on 13 Nov 2025. $294.75K traded over the market's life.
197 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 27 points · 21 Oct 2025 – 16 Nov 2025 · axis zoomed to 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 16 Nov 2025 | 51.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| comon119 | Yes | 20K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.17K |
| k11er | Yes | 5.63K |
| Whimsical-Whorl | Yes | 5.2K |
| knedloveprovelo | Yes | 1.74K |
| pepemann | Yes | 1.48K |
| miange | Yes | 1.17K |
| uponly | Yes | 1.13K |
| EVplusrebate | Yes | 1.09K |
| kandiwin | Yes | 1.02K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Europe World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Sunday, November 16, 2025 between Hungary and Republic of Ireland.
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uef-hun-ire-2025-11-16
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