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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 4K | $0.940 | $3.74K | -$20 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | sell | 330 | $0.944 | $311.52 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 330 |
| $0.992 |
| $327.36 |
| Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 330 | $0.988 | $326.04 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 4K | $0.940 | $3.76K | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.910 | $309.4 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 319.99 | $0.940 | $300.79 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 289 | $0.910 | $262.99 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.58K | $0.993 | $2.57K | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No | sell | 0.29 | $0.988 | $0.29 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes | buy | 1.74K | $0.947 | $1.65K | Jun 10, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes | buy | 470 | $0.946 | $444.62 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 330 | $0.950 | $313.5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 316 | $0.967 | $305.57 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No | buy | 104 | $0.993 | $103.27 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 101 | $0.960 | $96.96 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 110 | $0.994 | $109.34 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.950 | $104.5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?No | buy | 110 | $0.977 | $107.47 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?No | buy | 100 | $0.997 | $99.7 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.945 | $94.5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?No | buy | 120 | $0.995 | $119.4 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 110 | $0.997 | $109.67 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 90 | $0.920 | $82.8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No | buy | 213 | $0.998 | $212.57 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 120 | $0.989 | $118.68 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 80 | $0.985 | $78.8 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No | buy | 96 | $0.992 | $95.23 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | buy | 108 | $0.988 | $106.7 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?No | buy | 125 | $0.996 | $124.5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Espresso FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 90 | $0.975 | $87.75 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Over $80M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No | buy | 409 | $0.995 | $406.96 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?No | sell | 560 | $0.542 | $303.4 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?No | buy | 560 | $0.985 | $551.59 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?No | buy | 405 | $0.990 | $400.95 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | buy | 169 | $0.900 | $152.1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Rainbow FDV above $400M one day after launch?No | buy | 131 | $0.940 | $123.14 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 140 | $0.990 | $138.6 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 19-25?No | buy | 289.45 | $0.987 | $285.69 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 390 | $0.965 | $376.35 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 50 | $0.958 | $47.9 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?No | buy | 100 | $0.979 | $97.9 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 55 | $0.976 | $53.68 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 38.2 | $0.966 | $36.9 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?No | buy | 200 | $0.983 | $196.6 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?No | buy | 240 | $0.980 | $235.2 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 75 | $0.972 | $72.9 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 70 | $0.930 | $65.1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?No | buy | 400 | $0.992 | $396.79 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January?No | buy | 40 | $0.960 | $38.4 | Jan 4, 2026 |