Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 55% on 27 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 350 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 97% on 24 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 51 points down, to 22.8% on 1 May 2026. $1.63M traded over the market's life.
544 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 6:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 350 points, 27 Jun 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2025 | 55.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| norbertbodziony | Yes | 9.41K |
| nova0033 | Yes | 2.95K |
| PolJim | Yes | 2.24K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/megaeth-airdrop-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Cobalt Raven 4C62 | Yes | 2.16K |
| Lively-Mower | Yes | 2K |
| kukasistaken | Yes | 1.35K |
| simplemanh | No | 1.31K |
| oneone111 | Yes | 1.01K |
| Smooth-Notation | Yes | 771.1 |
| Lunar Tide 10E8 | Yes | 650.41 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
