Latest trade
Mar 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 2:57 AM UTC.
Analytics
MrFate is down $144.83 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 6 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-27 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 2:57 AM UTC.
$1.11 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 26 markets; 70.0% were buys. They run from Jan 27, 2026 UTC to Mar 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US defaults on debt by 2027? | Yes | 952.78 | $0.035 | $9.05 | -$24.15 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US defaults on debt by 2027?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.049 | $1.23 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-27 02:06 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 02:57 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 02:57 UTC
polymarket positions
7 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-01 06:03 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $6.81 and losing ones cost $21.21 across 6 settled positions. 33.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.76 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET” (Up); the largest loss, $11.2 on “AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?” (Yes).
It first traded on 31 Dec 2025 and most recently on 20 Mar 2026, 220 days ago. It has traded 33 markets. Its open positions are worth $9.05 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 7.09 |
| $0.140 |
| $0.99 |
| Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETUp | sell | 9.06 | $0.430 | $3.9 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETUp | buy | 9.05 | $0.110 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETUp | buy | 3.5 | $0.280 | $0.98 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETUp | buy | 33.32 | $0.030 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETUp | buy | 4.1 | $0.240 | $0.98 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETUp | buy | 3.26 | $0.300 | $0.98 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETUp | sell | 3.08 | $0.990 | $3.05 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETUp | buy | 3.05 | $0.320 | $0.98 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETUp | buy | 11.07 | $0.090 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| US defaults on debt by 2027?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.049 | $3.93 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETDown | buy | 49.99 | $0.020 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETDown | buy | 14.26 | $0.070 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETUp | buy | 49.99 | $0.020 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| US defaults on debt by 2027?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.050 | $2.12 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETUp | buy | 4.94 | $0.200 | $0.99 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETUp | buy | 49.99 | $0.020 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETUp | buy | 29.12 | $0.170 | $4.95 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETUp | sell | 6.82 | $0.990 | $6.75 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETUp | buy | 6.75 | $0.290 | $1.96 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
 AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.010 | $3 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETDown | buy | 6.19 | $0.160 | $0.99 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETUp | buy | 3.78 | $0.260 | $0.98 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETUp | buy | 2.63 | $0.370 | $0.97 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 24.98 | $0.040 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 3.26 | $0.300 | $0.98 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 5.82 | $0.170 | $0.99 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 6 | $0.300 | $1.8 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?Yes | sell | 150.41 | $0.060 | $9.02 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETUp | buy | 40.98 | $0.030 | $1.23 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETUp | buy | 24.98 | $0.040 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETDown | buy | 24.98 | $0.040 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| US defaults on debt by 2027?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.060 | $1.68 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?Yes | sell | 46 | $0.050 | $2.3 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| US defaults on debt by 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.043 | $0.86 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 26.67 | $0.150 | $4 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 55.26 | $0.300 | $16.58 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 55.25 | $0.250 | $13.81 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 110.52 | $0.290 | $32.05 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 58 | $0.320 | $18.56 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 42 | $0.320 | $13.44 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on January 28?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 28?Yes | buy | 112.63 | $0.018 | $2 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 28?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.018 | $7.2 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.