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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.52 | $0.044 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 48 | $0.760 | $36.48 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 81 |
| $0.220 |
| $17.82 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.230 | $10.35 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.890 | $40.94 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 42 | $0.959 | $40.28 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 42 | $0.958 | $40.24 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.120 | $5.52 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 48 | $0.860 | $41.28 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.720 | $11.52 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.760 | $12.16 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 114 | $0.380 | $43.32 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 114 | $0.380 | $43.32 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes | sell | 32.06 | $0.026 | $0.83 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.043 | $2.97 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.961 | $45.17 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.960 | $45.12 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.192 | $4.03 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.192 | $14.59 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 37 | $0.953 | $35.26 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.046 | $1.65 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 48 | $0.966 | $46.37 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 157 | $0.045 | $7.06 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 157 | $0.044 | $6.91 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.989 | $0.01 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?No | sell | 34 | $0.988 | $33.59 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?No | buy | 34 | $0.991 | $33.69 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.966 | $33.81 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.969 | $4.85 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 12 | $0.969 | $11.63 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 10 | $0.984 | $9.84 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No | buy | 29 | $0.935 | $27.12 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?Yes | buy | 129 | $0.035 | $4.52 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 27 | $0.984 | $26.57 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?Yes | sell | 161 | $0.030 | $4.83 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 27 | $0.983 | $26.54 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 36 | $0.973 | $35.03 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 36 | $0.975 | $35.1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 35 | $0.994 | $34.79 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 35 | $0.992 | $34.72 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 36 | $0.966 | $34.78 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?No | buy | 35 | $0.978 | $34.23 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?No | sell | 35 | $0.994 | $34.79 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?No | buy | 35 | $0.994 | $34.79 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.032 | $1.06 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 284 | $0.005 | $1.42 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 133 | $0.005 | $0.67 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | sell | 35 | $0.977 | $34.2 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | buy | 35 | $0.977 | $34.2 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 25 | $0.988 | $24.7 | Sep 2, 2025 |