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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.84 | $0.045 | $0.02 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 106 | $0.820 | $86.92 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 89 |
| $0.977 |
| $86.95 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 102 | $0.850 | $86.7 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 102 | $0.850 | $86.7 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 91 | $0.860 | $78.26 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.095 | $1.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 84 | $0.920 | $77.28 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 79 | $0.920 | $72.68 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 93 | $0.920 | $85.56 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 184 | $0.070 | $12.88 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 132 | $0.070 | $9.24 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.160 | $13.76 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.976 | $43.92 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 73 | $0.590 | $43.07 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.590 | $43.07 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 81 | $0.938 | $75.98 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 81 | $0.937 | $75.9 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 81 | $0.939 | $76.06 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 85 | $0.890 | $75.65 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 94 | $0.810 | $76.14 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 84 | $0.989 | $83.08 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 84 | $0.989 | $83.08 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 94 | $0.890 | $83.66 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 94 | $0.900 | $84.6 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 8 | $0.800 | $6.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 96.05 | $0.800 | $76.84 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.680 | $12.24 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.049 | $2.01 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 174 | $0.045 | $7.83 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 60 | $0.720 | $43.2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 45 | $0.813 | $36.59 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 177 | $0.490 | $86.73 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 177 | $0.490 | $86.73 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 8 | $0.690 | $5.52 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 8 | $0.690 | $5.52 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 99 | $0.797 | $78.9 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 80 | $0.986 | $78.88 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 80 | $0.979 | $78.32 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 175 | $0.017 | $2.98 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 84 | $0.947 | $79.55 | May 31, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.956 | $57.36 | May 30, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.957 | $57.42 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 128 | $0.440 | $56.32 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 128 | $0.440 | $56.32 | May 29, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 140 | $0.570 | $79.8 | May 29, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 211 | $0.410 | $86.51 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 127 | $0.620 | $78.74 | May 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 9.59 | $0.650 | $6.23 | May 27, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 174 | $0.210 | $36.54 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 113 | $0.740 | $83.62 | May 25, 2026 |