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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 7.88 | $0.995 | $7.84 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.55 |
| $0.392 |
| $1 |
| Apr 10, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 9?Up | buy | 6.21 | $0.150 | $0.93 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 9?Up | buy | 19.65 | $0.047 | $0.92 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 9?Down | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (April 12)Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 110.42 | $0.018 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on April 7?Up | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETDown | buy | 85.74 | $0.010 | $0.86 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance say "EU" or "European Union" during meetings with Orbán?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7?Up | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Ceasefire" this week? (March 22)Yes | buy | 5.25 | $0.571 | $3 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 59.44 | $0.017 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |