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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.710 | $1.29 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.15 |
| $0.931 |
| $2 |
| Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Gold missing from Fort Knox?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 3.6 | $0.278 | $1 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $4,100.00 in December?Yes | buy | 11.64 | $0.859 | $10 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?Yes | buy | 15.28 | $0.720 | $11 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 9.05 | $0.090 | $0.81 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.630 | $1.23 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.966 | $3.11 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.170 | $0.97 | Nov 23, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 6.5 | $0.150 | $0.98 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 14.05 | $0.927 | $13.02 | Nov 23, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 6.98 | $0.430 | $3 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.620 | $3.3 | Nov 19, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 35.56 | $0.084 | $3 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Solana above $210 on November 22?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.670 | $4.69 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?Yes | buy | 13.31 | $0.950 | $12.64 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,250 in November?Yes | buy | 4.62 | $0.865 | $4 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?Yes | buy | 4.69 | $0.640 | $3 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Solana above $170 on November 8?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.940 | $0.96 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.320 | $0.96 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 23.71 | $0.609 | $14.44 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Oct 20, 2024 |