Latest trade
Sep 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 8:14 PM UTC.
Analytics
Optimisticsv has made $111.64 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 8:14 PM UTC.
$96.49 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 50 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Oct 22, 2025 UTC to Sep 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Solana dip to $40 in September?No | buy | 13.41 | $0.999 | $13.4 | 29d ago |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 17:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 20:14 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 20:14 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-27 20:38 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $208.49 and losing ones cost $87.48 across the latest 50 settled positions. 84% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $90 on “Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 14-21?” (Yes); the largest loss, $45 on “Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Apr 11?” (No).
It first traded on 23 Feb 2025 and most recently on 24 Sep 2026. It has traded 109 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 3 |
| $0.570 |
| $1.71 |
| 29d ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 15.12 | $0.999 | $15.1 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 1-7?No | buy | 97.1 | $0.999 | $97 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026?No | buy | 97.09 | $0.999 | $96.99 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?Yes | buy | 96.1 | $0.999 | $96 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?Yes | buy | 96.1 | $0.999 | $96 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?Yes | buy | 96.19 | $0.998 | $96 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?Yes | buy | 96.1 | $0.999 | $96 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?Yes | buy | 96.1 | $0.999 | $96 | Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 26?No | buy | 96.08 | $0.999 | $95.99 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 96.09 | $0.999 | $95.99 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 96.09 | $0.999 | $95.99 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 96.09 | $0.999 | $95.99 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 6?Yes | buy | 96.08 | $0.999 | $95.99 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 95.1 | $0.999 | $95 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 28?Yes | buy | 95.09 | $0.999 | $95 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 24?No | buy | 95.09 | $0.999 | $95 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 34.03 | $0.999 | $34 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 21?No | buy | 61.06 | $0.999 | $61 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 95.29 | $0.997 | $95 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 16?Yes | buy | 95.1 | $0.999 | $95 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 16?Yes | buy | 282.38 | $0.011 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 12?No | buy | 98.1 | $0.999 | $98 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 9?No | buy | 98.1 | $0.999 | $98 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No | buy | 97.1 | $0.999 | $97 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?No | buy | 97.19 | $0.998 | $97 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on February 15?No | buy | 97.1 | $0.999 | $97 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?No | buy | 97.1 | $0.999 | $97 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 31?No | buy | 97.1 | $0.999 | $97 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?No | buy | 97.1 | $0.999 | $97 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 20?No | buy | 97.1 | $0.999 | $97 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 17?No | buy | 97.1 | $0.999 | $97 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 11?Yes | buy | 97.1 | $0.999 | $97 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 11?No | buy | 830 | $0.002 | $1.66 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?No | buy | 98.1 | $0.999 | $98 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 4?Yes | buy | 98.1 | $0.999 | $98 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 29?Yes | buy | 98.2 | $0.998 | $98 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 22?No | buy | 98.1 | $0.999 | $98 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 15?No | buy | 98.25 | $0.999 | $98.15 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?No | buy | 98.15 | $0.999 | $98.05 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 1?Yes | buy | 98.05 | $0.999 | $97.95 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 1?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Solana be above $180 on November 27?No | buy | 99.95 | $0.999 | $99.85 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on November 26?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.002 | $2.6 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 102.45 | $0.998 | $102.25 | Nov 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 11?No | buy | 102.24 | $0.999 | $102.14 | Nov 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will Solana reach $210 October 27-November 2?No | buy | 102.14 | $0.998 | $101.94 | Nov 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No | buy | 101.94 | $0.999 | $101.84 | Oct 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?No | buy | 54.05 | $0.999 | $54 | Oct 22, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.