Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.090 | $8.1 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 200 |
| $0.050 |
| $10 |
| Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by September 30?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.212 | $53.09 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | sell | 4K | $0.039 | $156.24 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.250 | $62.5 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.083 | $41.6 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?No | sell | 30.3 | $0.670 | $20.3 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | sell | 2K | $0.920 | $1.84K | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 1.04K | $0.750 | $781.16 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.51K | $0.770 | $1.93K | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 530 | $0.847 | $448.91 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 238.44 | $0.984 | $234.62 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 606 | $0.820 | $496.92 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?No | sell | 500 | $0.996 | $498 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.51K | $0.780 | $1.95K | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 3.23K | $0.360 | $1.16K | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 5K | $0.830 | $4.15K | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.721 | $7.21 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.035 | $1.75 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 59 | $0.650 | $38.35 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Major cyberattack on Iran in June?Yes | buy | 1.31K | $0.932 | $1.22K | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 3.96 | $0.780 | $3.09 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.800 | $3.2K | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?No | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?No | buy | 415 | $0.890 | $369.35 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.49K | $0.985 | $7.37K | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before July?No | buy | 3K | $0.918 | $2.75K | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?No | buy | 500 | $0.910 | $455 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.684 | $756.43 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?Yes | buy | 832.96 | $0.948 | $789.65 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 150 times June 6–13?No | buy | 87 | $0.921 | $80.13 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 7K | $0.960 | $6.72K | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 1.78K | $0.963 | $1.72K | May 29, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 519.59 | $0.960 | $498.89 | May 27, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 2.88K | $0.923 | $2.66K | May 27, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?No | buy | 2.17K | $0.790 | $1.72K | May 22, 2025 |
 Will India invade Pakistan before July?No | buy | 2.27K | $0.968 | $2.2K | May 22, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 3.53K | $0.910 | $3.21K | May 22, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 5K | $0.590 | $2.95K | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 16–23?No | buy | 101 | $0.960 | $96.96 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on May 23?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.949 | $1.23K | May 22, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 5.41K | $0.739 | $4K | May 22, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.9K | $0.980 | $4.8K | May 6, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?No | buy | 3.2K | $0.938 | $3K | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | buy | 3.67K | $0.930 | $3.41K | Apr 15, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran in April?No | buy | 7.6K | $0.940 | $7.14K | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 740.38 | $0.975 | $721.87 | Apr 9, 2025 |