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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 151.31 | $0.008 | $1.21 | Nov 25, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 182 |
| $0.009 |
| $1.64 |
| Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Grok be the next CEO of X?Yes | buy | 182 | $0.010 | $1.82 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | sell | 657 | $0.005 | $3.29 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | sell | 178.08 | $0.004 | $0.71 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Will Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 178.08 | $0.005 | $0.89 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Will Dwayne Johnson win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 308.06 | $0.008 | $2.46 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will CapCut - Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?Yes | sell | 404.67 | $0.002 | $0.81 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Will CapCut - Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?Yes | buy | 404.67 | $0.004 | $1.62 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Will Tesla reach $615 in November?Yes | sell | 243 | $0.009 | $2.19 | Nov 16, 2025 |
Will Ariana Grande be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | sell | 458 | $0.004 | $1.83 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Ariana Grande be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 458 | $0.004 | $1.83 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Billie Eilish be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 279.49 | $0.005 | $1.4 | Nov 14, 2025 |
Will Izquierda Ecologista Popular Animalista y Humanista gain the most seats in the Senate election?Yes | sell | 674 | $0.004 | $2.7 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 10 above $300?Yes | sell | 535.2 | $0.006 | $3.21 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of November 10 above $250?No | sell | 360 | $0.006 | $2.16 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?Yes | sell | 187 | $0.011 | $2.06 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in October?Yes | sell | 385 | $0.007 | $2.7 | Nov 2, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?Yes | sell | 53.2 | $0.009 | $0.48 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?Yes | sell | 291.8 | $0.009 | $2.51 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 676 | $0.003 | $2.03 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will Nicolas Claxton win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Yes | sell | 425.29 | $0.006 | $2.55 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Joe Biden be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Yes | sell | 516 | $0.007 | $3.61 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21 + D66?Yes | sell | 408.98 | $0.008 | $3.27 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?Yes | sell | 750 | $0.004 | $3 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Cal Raleigh hit the most home runs in the 2025 MLB Postseason?Yes | sell | 352.52 | $0.007 | $2.47 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?No | buy | 188.97 | $0.006 | $1.13 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Will Val Kilmer be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?Yes | sell | 917 | $0.004 | $3.67 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA?Yes | sell | 529 | $0.006 | $3.17 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?Yes | buy | 297 | $0.007 | $2.08 | Oct 19, 2025 |
Will Robert Redford be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?Yes | sell | 587 | $0.005 | $2.94 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | sell | 404 | $0.003 | $1.21 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | buy | 404 | $0.003 | $1.21 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Yes | sell | 334 | $0.010 | $3.34 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 399 | $0.006 | $2.39 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on October 31?Yes | sell | 753.07 | $0.004 | $3.01 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will A House of Dynamite win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 241 | $0.009 | $2.17 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will Kevin Stefanski be the next coach fired?Yes | sell | 516 | $0.006 | $3.1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 109 | $0.013 | $1.42 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will turnout be less than 66% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?Yes | buy | 213.2 | $0.014 | $2.98 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2500000 and 2750000?Yes | sell | 728.48 | $0.003 | $2.19 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?No | sell | 862 | $0.003 | $2.59 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?Yes | sell | 258 | $0.008 | $2.06 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 253 | $0.010 | $2.53 | Oct 3, 2025 |
Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?Yes | sell | 229 | $0.011 | $2.52 | Oct 2, 2025 |
Will Oracle be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 338 | $0.008 | $2.7 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $10-15b one day after launch?Yes | sell | 365 | $0.006 | $2.19 | May 27, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by April 30?Yes | sell | 536 | $0.005 | $2.68 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?Yes | sell | 316.76 | $0.007 | $2.22 | Mar 21, 2025 |