Will Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 25, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.4M

Resolved

Settled

Dec 25, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 25 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 7 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 50 daily closes on record from 7 Nov 2025 to 25 Dec 2025, the highest close was 4.5% on 7 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Nov 2025. $1.35M traded over the market's life.

131 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:41 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 50 points, 7 Nov 2025 – 25 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–10%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.46M
flow-trader-at-optiver	Yes	102.41K
Novus0rdoSeclorum	Yes	60.27K

10 of 131 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).