Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 533.46 | $0.999 | $532.93 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 585.37 |
| $0.999 |
| $584.78 |
| Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 528.34 | $0.999 | $527.81 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 567.7 | $0.999 | $567.07 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?No | buy | 3.15 | $0.999 | $3.15 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 168.87 | $0.999 | $168.7 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No | buy | 314.14 | $0.999 | $313.83 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 49.07 | $0.998 | $48.97 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 84.87 | $0.999 | $84.79 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 442.22 | $0.995 | $440.01 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 30.36 | $0.997 | $30.27 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 531.91 | $0.997 | $530.31 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 579.65 | $0.997 | $577.91 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No | buy | 153.19 | $0.999 | $153.04 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?No | buy | 207.11 | $0.992 | $205.45 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?No | buy | 168.5 | $0.999 | $168.33 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No | buy | 335.1 | $0.989 | $331.41 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 141.06 | $0.999 | $140.92 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?No | buy | 527.94 | $0.999 | $527.41 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?No | buy | 244.54 | $0.999 | $244.3 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 212.43 | $0.994 | $211.16 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 151.94 | $0.999 | $151.79 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 197.83 | $0.959 | $189.72 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.37 | $0.997 | $8.34 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 18.22 | $0.999 | $18.2 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 4.75 | $0.981 | $4.66 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?No | buy | 102.67 | $0.998 | $102.46 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 432.73 | $0.996 | $431 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 132.07 | $0.871 | $115.01 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 12.21 | $0.993 | $12.12 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 71.44 | $0.998 | $71.3 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 459.23 | $0.220 | $101.03 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 170.83 | $0.012 | $2.05 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 195.03 | $0.996 | $194.25 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 66.8 | $0.025 | $1.67 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 195.78 | $0.979 | $191.67 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 102.33 | $0.951 | $97.32 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 179.18 | $0.780 | $139.76 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 179.19 | $0.750 | $134.39 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?No | buy | 181.78 | $0.994 | $180.69 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 181.12 | $0.997 | $180.58 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 181.12 | $0.997 | $180.58 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 171.5 | $0.987 | $169.27 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Haas be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 146.77 | $0.997 | $146.33 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will Haas be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 146.77 | $0.998 | $146.48 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 143.28 | $0.995 | $142.56 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 143.28 | $0.996 | $142.71 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?No | buy | 18.47 | $0.991 | $18.3 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 160.56 | $0.996 | $159.92 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 160.56 | $0.997 | $160.08 | Jun 5, 2025 |