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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.99 | $0.043 | $0.02 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 24 | $0.910 | $21.84 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 65 |
| $0.880 |
| $57.2 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.977 | $35.17 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.977 | $16.61 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 105 | $0.540 | $56.7 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 63 | $0.860 | $54.18 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.190 | $4.37 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.190 | $4.37 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.160 | $0.64 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.063 | $2.77 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.063 | $2.77 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 6 | $0.964 | $5.78 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 106 | $0.114 | $12.08 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 156 | $0.115 | $17.94 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.840 | $25.2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.890 | $5.34 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 53 | $0.937 | $49.66 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 47 | $0.937 | $44.04 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.140 | $8.4 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 162 | $0.033 | $5.35 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 162 | $0.036 | $5.83 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.899 | $31.47 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.943 | $47.15 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.995 | $62.69 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.660 | $41.58 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 62 | $0.670 | $41.54 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 27 | $0.807 | $21.79 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.821 | $22.17 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 66 | $0.580 | $38.28 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.580 | $12.76 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.826 | $42.13 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 61 | $0.640 | $39.04 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 52 | $0.837 | $43.52 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 52 | $0.869 | $45.19 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.940 | $6.58 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.945 | $6.61 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 83 | $0.460 | $38.18 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.040 | $0.12 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.054 | $2.43 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 65 | $0.690 | $44.85 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.187 | $12.16 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 46 | $0.962 | $44.25 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.023 | $1.04 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 75 | $0.490 | $36.75 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.490 | $3.92 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 24 | $0.810 | $19.44 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 46 | $0.972 | $44.71 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 6 | $0.741 | $4.45 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 6 | $0.741 | $4.45 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 32 | $0.640 | $20.48 | Jun 1, 2026 |