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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.41K | $0.001 | $3.41 | Jun 17, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 8.33K |
| $0.003 |
| $25 |
| Jun 17, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.83K | $0.012 | $45.97 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.62K | $0.017 | $27.49 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.043 | $43 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.71K | $0.017 | $29 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26?Up | buy | 14.9K | $0.001 | $14.9 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10.11K | $0.018 | $181.9 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10.77K | $0.019 | $200.64 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 18.74K | $0.012 | $224.84 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.55K | $0.007 | $52.85 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 845.71 | $0.007 | $5.92 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 94.33 | $0.043 | $4.07 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1?Yes | sell | 185.18 | $0.010 | $1.85 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.51K | $0.002 | $5.01 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.33K | $0.003 | $7 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.86K | $0.007 | $20 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.140 | $11.67 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?Yes | sell | 20.37 | $0.999 | $20.35 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 20.37 | $0.350 | $7.13 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 107.59 | $0.186 | $20 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "trans" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 183.78 | $0.136 | $25 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.310 | $50 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will $Trump FDV be less than $3b on inauguration day?Yes | sell | 293.97 | $0.001 | $0.29 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?Yes | sell | 108.69 | $0.056 | $6.09 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during victory rally?Yes | buy | 105.74 | $0.430 | $45.47 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.004 | $4 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" 5 or more times during victory rally?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will $TRUMP memecoin creator sell by Sunday?Yes | sell | 570.37 | $0.015 | $8.42 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Coinbase list $TRUMP in January?No | sell | 100 | $0.073 | $7.3 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?Yes | sell | 555 | $0.007 | $3.66 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?Yes | buy | 787.9 | $0.013 | $10 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.400 | $12 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" 5 or more times during victory rally?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.030 | $5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Coinbase list $TRUMP in January?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?No | sell | 5.15 | $0.950 | $4.89 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.027 | $5 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend presidential inauguration?Yes | buy | 204 | $0.025 | $5 | Jan 18, 2025 |