Latest trade
Oct 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 10:50 PM UTC.
Analytics
Tnothcote has made $1.14K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 11 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-06 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 10:50 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 31 markets; 76.0% were buys. They run from Aug 7, 2026 UTC to Oct 10, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 2.02K | $0.602 | $1.79K | +$570.22 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | 15d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-06 15:49 UTC
Polymarket public position response
25 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 22:50 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 22:50 UTC
polymarket positions
12 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-06 15:49 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $3.35K and losing ones cost $487.07 across 11 settled positions. 63.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.59K on “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?” (No); the largest loss, $319.73 on “Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 10 Oct 2026. It has traded 49 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.18K across 25 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 995.94 |
| $0.321 |
| $253.97 |
| -$66.03 |
 Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | Yes | 1.4K | $0.080 | $90.91 | -$21.09 |
 Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 612.78 | $0.037 | $22.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will USC Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? | Yes | 63.2 | $0.095 | $4.2 | -$1.8 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 172.41 | $0.029 | $3.36 | -$1.64 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3.81 | $0.525 | $2.53 | +$0.53 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 34.48 | $0.029 | $2.02 | +$1.02 |
 Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1.81 | +$0.81 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1.54 | +$0.54 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1.41 | +$0.41 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | $0 |
 Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.1 | $0.910 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 1.43 | $0.700 | $0.91 | -$0.09 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.41 | $0.710 | $0.89 | -$0.11 |
 Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3.13 | $0.320 | $0.83 | -$0.17 |
 Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 1.22 | $0.820 | $0.76 | -$0.24 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2.38 | $0.420 | $0.71 | -$0.29 |
 Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 13.7 | $0.073 | $0.58 | -$0.42 |
 Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.100 | $0.24 | -$0.77 |
| buy |
| 1.14 |
| $0.880 |
| $1 |
| 20d ago |
| Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West?Yes | buy | 37.78 | $0.265 | $10 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West?Yes | buy | 919.71 | $0.326 | $300 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 793.65 | $0.630 | $500 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 793.65 | $0.630 | $500 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.55K | $0.170 | $603.89 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.18K | $0.170 | $201.3 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.58K | $0.170 | $268.4 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.051 | $1 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will USC Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?Yes | buy | 25.7 | $0.117 | $3 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will USC Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.073 | $1 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?Yes | buy | 176.55 | $0.028 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.057 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.11K | $0.163 | $344.13 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 413.49 | $0.530 | $219.15 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 175 | $0.390 | $68.25 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.06K | $0.022 | $23.76 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 354.05 | $0.026 | $9.21 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 472.07 | $0.027 | $12.63 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 663.44 | $0.025 | $16.61 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 896.55 | $0.026 | $23.18 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 811.98 | $0.730 | $592.75 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.45K | $0.029 | $100 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
 Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 7?Down | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 7?Down | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 7?Down | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.