Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 128.21 | $0.780 | $118.59 | +$18.59 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 59.52 | $0.994 | $59.16 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 117.65 |
| $0.850 |
| $111.18 |
| +$11.18 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 112.36 | $0.890 | $108.03 | +$8.03 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 108.7 | $0.920 | $105.38 | +$5.38 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 106.5 | $0.939 | $103.99 | +$3.99 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 111.11 | $0.900 | $97.22 | -$2.78 |
 Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 136.99 | $0.730 | $36.3 | -$63.7 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 112.23 | $0.891 | $18.8 | -$81.2 |
| sell |
| 77.11 |
| $0.891 |
| $68.71 |
| Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.119 | $13.17 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | sell | 32.78 | $0.710 | $23.27 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Gold (GC) Up or Down on March 2?Up | buy | 16.48 | $0.910 | $15 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Macron out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 103.67 | $0.965 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will France strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 117.6 | $0.850 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Yes | buy | 136.99 | $0.730 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?Up | buy | 10.37 | $0.964 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 112.23 | $0.891 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?Yes | buy | 54.35 | $0.920 | $50 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 77.11 | $0.648 | $50 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 110.08 | $0.908 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | sell | 192.3 | $0.511 | $98.2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 384.61 | $0.514 | $197.76 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Anthropic CEO arrested?No | buy | 105.37 | $0.949 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 384.62 | $0.520 | $200 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 106.5 | $0.939 | $100 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 54.95 | $0.910 | $50 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 59.52 | $0.840 | $50 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 107.38 | $0.931 | $100 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 192.31 | $0.520 | $100 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | buy | 103.95 | $0.962 | $100 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 104.59 | $0.956 | $100 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $630b on February 28?No | buy | 109.72 | $0.911 | $100 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 106.64 | $0.938 | $100 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Feb 9, 2026 |