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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Weed rescheduled by December 31? | Yes | 360.99 | $0.637 | $59.92 | -$170.08 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 49.9 | $0.420 | $20.96 | 1d ago |
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| Yes |
| 49.9 |
| $0.420 |
| $25.7 |
| +$4.74 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.162 | $14 | -$2.22 |
Trump out as President by September 30? | Yes | 780 | $0.009 | $6.63 | -$0.39 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2.5 | +$0.5 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 400 | $0.005 | $1.8 | -$0.2 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1K | $0.002 | $1.5 | -$0.5 |
| buy |
| 99.99 |
| $0.162 |
| $16.22 |
| 1d ago |
Trump out as President by September 30?Yes | buy | 780 | $0.009 | $7.02 | 1d ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | 1d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | 1d ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | 1d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETDown | buy | 58.86 | $0.425 | $25 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 78.13 | $0.320 | $25 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?Yes | buy | 244.99 | $0.816 | $200 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.019 | $5.7 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.065 | $1.95 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.006 | $1.02 | May 29, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.006 | $1.02 | May 29, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.014 | $1.4 | May 25, 2026 |
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.510 | $51 | May 25, 2026 |
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.061 | $6.1 | May 25, 2026 |
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No | buy | 45.05 | $0.444 | $20 | May 20, 2026 |
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.515 | $35 | May 19, 2026 |
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?Yes | buy | 157.03 | $0.032 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?Yes | buy | 14.84 | $0.865 | $12.84 | May 15, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?Yes | buy | 94.39 | $0.837 | $79.03 | May 15, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.810 | $4.26 | May 15, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.757 | $22.7 | May 15, 2026 |
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes | buy | 94.89 | $0.632 | $60 | May 8, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.799 | $79.95 | May 8, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | May 6, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 5 major space weather events this week?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 5 major space weather events this week?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.022 | $0.29 | May 5, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 5 major space weather events this week?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.021 | $0.32 | May 5, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?No | buy | 194.57 | $0.360 | $70 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.053 | $26.5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.052 | $2.96 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?Yes | buy | 6.05 | $0.076 | $0.46 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?Yes | buy | 9.19 | $0.075 | $0.69 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?Yes | buy | 22.87 | $0.018 | $0.42 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Weed rescheduled by December 31?Yes | sell | 31.39 | $0.352 | $11.05 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Weed rescheduled by June 30?Yes | sell | 714.28 | $0.056 | $40.08 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | sell | 125.04 | $0.698 | $87.28 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | buy | 125.04 | $0.732 | $91.53 | Apr 24, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?Up | sell | 91.63 | $0.999 | $91.54 | Apr 24, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?Up | buy | 90.55 | $0.708 | $64.13 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Weed rescheduled by December 31?Yes | buy | 392.38 | $0.637 | $250 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Weed rescheduled by June 30?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.350 | $250 | Apr 23, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 405.42 | $0.860 | $348.66 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | sell | 44.11 | $0.510 | $22.5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 125.86 | $0.750 | $94.4 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 106.04 | $0.944 | $100.1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 224.7 | $0.880 | $197.74 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.350 | $21.88 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | sell | 135.13 | $0.160 | $21.62 | Apr 22, 2026 |