Latest trade
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 5:55 AM UTC.
Analytics
manuelvalenzuela is down $16 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 46 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 5:55 AM UTC.
$5.75 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 22 markets; 46.0% were buys. They run from Jan 24, 2026 UTC to Oct 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 89 | $0.999 | $88.91 | 3d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-21 11:53 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 05:55 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 05:55 UTC
polymarket positions
48 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-21 11:53 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.5 and losing ones cost $6.27 across 46 settled positions. 15.2% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $0.58 on “Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?” (No); the largest loss, $0.48 on “Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Oct 2026. It has traded 50 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 89 |
| $0.998 |
| $88.82 |
| Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 137 | $0.009 | $1.23 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.007 | $0.13 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.007 | $0.55 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 89 | $0.998 | $88.82 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.009 | $0.15 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 154 | $0.010 | $1.54 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 99 | $0.007 | $0.69 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 91 | $0.993 | $90.36 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 91 | $0.994 | $90.45 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 102 | $0.007 | $0.71 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 298 | $0.008 | $2.38 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 90 | $0.993 | $89.37 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 90 | $0.994 | $89.46 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 320 | $0.025 | $8 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 96 | $0.997 | $95.71 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?No | buy | 97 | $0.998 | $96.81 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 100 | $0.992 | $99.2 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 100 | $0.993 | $99.3 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 100 | $0.987 | $98.7 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 100 | $0.987 | $98.7 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?No | buy | 96 | $0.994 | $95.42 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 96 | $0.996 | $95.62 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 96 | $0.997 | $95.71 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 106 | $0.006 | $0.64 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 102.98 | $0.006 | $0.62 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 94.01 | $0.006 | $0.56 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.006 | $0.01 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 68 | $0.006 | $0.41 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 98 | $0.998 | $97.8 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 98 | $0.999 | $97.9 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 73 | $0.007 | $0.51 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 174 | $0.007 | $1.22 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.007 | $0.18 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 101 | $0.993 | $100.29 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 101 | $0.994 | $100.39 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.004 | $0.31 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.007 | $0.52 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.007 | $0.54 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 96 | $0.992 | $95.23 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 96 | $0.993 | $95.33 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 108 | $0.007 | $0.76 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 433 | $0.002 | $0.87 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.004 | $0.28 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 95 | $0.998 | $94.81 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 95 | $0.999 | $94.91 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 81 | $0.007 | $0.57 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 438 | $0.008 | $3.5 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 95 | $0.004 | $0.38 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.