Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.98 | $0.954 | $0.96 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.500 | $4 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 34 |
| $0.988 |
| $33.59 |
| Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 16 | $0.955 | $15.28 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 29.43 | $0.954 | $28.08 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 38 | $0.986 | $37.47 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.986 | $37.47 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.023 | $0.09 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 167 | $0.360 | $60.12 | May 31, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 167 | $0.360 | $60.12 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 144 | $0.014 | $2.02 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 144 | $0.014 | $2.02 | May 29, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 69 | $0.785 | $54.17 | May 29, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.039 | $3.2 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 156 | $0.220 | $34.32 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 156 | $0.180 | $28.08 | May 29, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | May 28, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 41 | $0.832 | $34.11 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 46 | $0.888 | $40.85 | May 27, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 88 | $0.490 | $43.12 | May 26, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 106 | $0.490 | $51.94 | May 26, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | May 26, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 65 | $0.500 | $32.5 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | sell | 101 | $0.047 | $4.75 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 175 | $0.040 | $7 | May 25, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?No | sell | 47 | $0.980 | $46.06 | May 25, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 47 | $0.974 | $45.78 | May 25, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?No | sell | 10 | $0.995 | $9.95 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.082 | $1.07 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.073 | $2.77 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.988 | $1.4 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?No | buy | 10 | $0.963 | $9.63 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.049 | $3.68 | May 20, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | sell | 14 | $0.984 | $13.78 | May 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 14 | $0.987 | $13.82 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May?No | sell | 15 | $0.961 | $14.42 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May?No | buy | 15 | $0.943 | $14.15 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Tennessee Titans?No | sell | 15 | $0.993 | $14.9 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Susan Crawford win by 10% or more?No | sell | 15 | $0.013 | $0.19 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Will Susan Crawford win by 10% or more?No | buy | 75 | $0.013 | $0.98 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.974 | $14.61 | Apr 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.972 | $14.58 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 59 | $0.022 | $1.3 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.026 | $0.78 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Kanye launch a coin in March?No | sell | 15 | $0.977 | $14.66 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in March?No | buy | 15 | $0.978 | $14.67 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 15 | $0.965 | $14.48 | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 15 | $0.969 | $14.54 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 54°F or below on March 22?No | buy | 8 | $0.993 | $7.94 | Mar 21, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 14-21?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.002 | $0.03 | Mar 19, 2025 |