Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?Up | buy | 53.48 | $0.187 | $10 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 38.03 |
| $0.710 |
| $27 |
| Jan 8, 2026 |
 GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Yes | sell | 227.27 | $0.062 | $14.09 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Nevada be the tipping point state?Yes | sell | 1.23K | $0.006 | $7.4 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Who will win men?Harris | sell | 69.13 | $0.002 | $0.14 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.001 | $0.09 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 534.56 | $0.010 | $5.35 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 534.56 | $0.377 | $201.53 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Epstein" during Macon, GA rally?Yes | buy | 135.14 | $0.037 | $5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 8.0-9.0%?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.060 | $20 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Warren, MI rally?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will Nevada be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.041 | $50 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Bitcoin hits $80k before election?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.040 | $10 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Another Israeli military action against Iran before the election?Yes | buy | 124.88 | $0.080 | $10 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Silver call all 50 states correctly?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will 538 call all 50 states correctly?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris get 80-82m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Trump get 74-76m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 126.58 | $0.158 | $20 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Kamala wins 276-262 - PA, NV, MI, WIYes | buy | 266.67 | $0.075 | $20 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 >50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 369.45 | $0.027 | $10 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2024?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.037 | $10 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will there be between 21 and 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.045 | $10 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.088 | $20 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Trump win 3 swing states?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Democrats win popular vote by 4-5%?Yes | buy | 186.29 | $0.107 | $20 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 131.58 | $0.380 | $50 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.048 | $10 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.030 | $10 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Crimean bridge hit before November?Yes | sell | 158.28 | $0.003 | $0.47 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | buy | 519.03 | $0.360 | $186.85 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Ukraine strike on Moscow before November?Yes | buy | 117 | $0.009 | $1 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Crimean bridge hit before November?Yes | buy | 158.29 | $0.006 | $1 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Who will win men?Harris | buy | 69.13 | $0.043 | $3 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?No | buy | 46.46 | $0.215 | $10 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 86.21 | $0.058 | $5 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will JD Vance say "fentanyl" during the Joe Rogan podcast?Yes | buy | 98.84 | $0.020 | $2 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 73.53 | $0.068 | $5 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Oct 31, 2024 |