Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 32% on 7 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 209 daily closes on record from 7 May 2024 to 1 Dec 2024, the highest close was 41.5% on 9 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 27 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 17.5% on 31 Jul 2024. $549.05K traded over the market's life.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 2, 7:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 209 points, 7 May 2024 – 1 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 May 2024 | 32.0% |
| 1 Dec 2024 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 183.56K |
| retardi0 | Yes | 19.4K |
| VINAYAK | Yes | 5.11K |
This is a market on the total number of named storms that will occur during the Atlantic Hurricane Season.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-named-storms-during-atlantic-hurricane-season-2024
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| L114 | Yes | 1.76K |
| SJ1985 | Yes | 766.85 |
| Floralkid | Yes | 738.45 |
| blahblahcar | Yes | 677.33 |
| 10to10000 | Yes | 514.82 |
| gopfanfan | Yes | 386.25 |
| Jefe999 | Yes | 224.4 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
