Will Trump say "Epstein" during Macon, GA rally?

politicsResolved

No, settled Nov 4, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$15.8K

Resolved

Settled

Nov 4, 2024 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved No on 4 Nov 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.2%. Yes opened at 20% on 3 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 3 Nov 2024 to 4 Nov 2024, the highest close was 20% on 3 Nov 2024 and the lowest 4.9% on 4 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 4.9% on 4 Nov 2024. $15.83K traded over the market's life.

9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 5, 5:07 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 3 Nov 2024 – 4 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–25%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
3 Nov 2024	20.0%
4 Nov 2024	4.9%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Trumprider333	Yes	264.26
whoknows11	Yes	63.29
Submissive-Burning	Yes	39.2
elijxh	Yes	35.38

9 of 9 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on November 3 in, Macon, Georgia (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/1f6a16d5f4sd41-5dfs4f56ds4f564-1a6df1d564). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Epstein" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Epstein" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to Jeff Epstein the New York financier. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond November 3, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.