Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 12 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 225 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48.5% on 30 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 25.5% on 5 May 2026. $29.32K traded over the market's life.
74 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 5:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 225 points, 12 Nov 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2025 | 11.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.45K |
| mylee31 | Yes | 1.65K |
| bigfunky | Yes | 551.85 |
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-cities-will-waymo-operate-in-by-june-30-2026
| wtfsss | Yes | 420.07 |
| Freem05 | Yes | 308.05 |
| lissartter | Yes | 302.96 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 236.99 |
| yiuyoo | Yes | 235 |
| balthazar | Yes | 232.86 |
| basedpnl | Yes | 212.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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