Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by March 31?

Resolved

Yes, settled Mar 6, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Mar 6, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 6 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 70.5% on 4 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 4 Mar 2026 to 6 Mar 2026, the highest close was 99.9% on 6 Mar 2026 and the lowest 70.5% on 4 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 99.2% on 5 Mar 2026.

18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 18, 2:59 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Mar 2026 – 6 Mar 2026, chart shows 60%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
4 Mar 2026	70.5%
6 Mar 2026	99.9%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Mrbandito	No	2K
jkguyfyu	No	1.36K
kamarat	No	500
5atka	No	200

10 of 18 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or above the specified price for any day between market creation and March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the March 31, 2026, exchange rate data is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.