Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94%. Yes opened at 18.5% on 12 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2024 to 10 Jan 2025, the highest close was 18.5% on 12 Dec 2024 and the lowest 6% on 10 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 12% on 13 Dec 2024. $32.58K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 11, 4:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 12 Dec 2024 – 10 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2024 | 18.5% |
| 10 Jan 2025 | 6.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.03K |
| Andrew1313 | Yes | 330.37 |
| Rapid Voyager 82D2 | Yes | 10 |
| oposite | Yes | 0.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 227,000 in November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains less than 100,000 in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for November, scheduled to be released on January 10, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-jobs-added-in-december
| Aazazrael | No | 0.07 |
| Ciklop | No | 0.07 |
| Buer | No | 0.06 |
| Guma | No | 0.06 |
| Umbra | No | 0.05 |
| Asia137 | No | 0.05 |
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